My actual position on AGW (Anthropomorphic Global Warming) is the same as a sizable portion of metereologists: not enough evidence to reliably predict climate change or its causes. I think that while there is some truth to the AGW scientific consensus, it is based on incomplete data with a myriad of factors, both known and unknown, that are not accounted for either because of:
a. the lack of sufficiently reliable instrumentation
b. insufficient precedent for conducting proper analyses of
the data (Climatology is still a relatively new science, I'd say in coder-speak they're in alpha stage).
c. an considerable confirmation bias has (in my view) tainted the interpretation of the data.
d. There is strong political incentive in most democratic countries to implement aggressive green reforms, and this requires a "Green Scare" to effect change in a stagnant bureaucracy that drags its feet for any kind of change, especially change that impacts their investment portfolios/[political backers.
Monday, February 25, 2013
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